Americas Energy Over Middle East Exposure

Conviction: 69% · Horizon: 18M · 2026-04-19
Energy portfolios should favor North and South American producers over Middle East-exposed majors.

Geopolitical instability and potential supply disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz increase the risk premium for assets tied to the Middle East. Producers with reserves and operations in the Americas offer cleaner exposure to higher energy prices with less direct regional disruption risk.

Instrument Side Target Reason
XLE Long We believe US-listed energy producers provide diversified exposure to North American oil and gas cash flows that can benefit from higher global energy prices while reducing direct dependence on Middle East operating assets.

Themes

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