Intel foundry turnaround may still justify upside at $60

Conviction: 68% · Horizon: 5Y · 2026-04-11
Intel can support its valuation if foundry losses flip into durable profits

Intel's core products appear to have stabilized, while the main valuation debate is whether foundry operations can scale into profitability. If foundry reaches even modest earnings power relative to leading peers, consolidated profits can rise enough to make the current multiple reasonable and leave room for upside.

Instrument Side Target Reason
INTC Long Intel's downside is increasingly anchored by a stabilized product business, while successful foundry execution can unlock a large step-up in earnings. Even partial progress toward credible external demand and better fab utilization could compress the valuation risk and create asymmetric upside from current levels.

Themes

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