Market Correction Buying Opportunity

Conviction: 75% · Horizon: 5Y · 2026-04-05
Buying stocks during corrections of 10–30% historically yields positive long-term returns

Data shows that in 63% of years (12/19), the stock market was positive from day 60 onward after a correction. The Fear & Greed Index dropped to 9 (extreme fear) but recovered to 19 — suggesting a potential bottom. Long-term investors who act during fear-driven selloffs tend to outperform.

Instrument Side Target Reason
SPY Long We believe the current extreme-fear environment, with the Fear & Greed Index near single digits, represents a historically strong long-term entry point into broad equities. Historical data confirms that buying during 10–30% drawdowns has been rewarded in the vast majority of cases over multi-year horizons.

Themes

2026-04-12 Return of Rimland
2026-02-23 The Golden Jubilee Cycle and Financial Reset

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