Dollar Debasement Regime

Conviction: 66% · Horizon: 10Y · 2026-06-20
Nominal returns can fail to preserve purchasing power when currency debasement accelerates.

Long-term portfolios built around conventional nominal return targets may underperform in real terms if the dollar keeps losing purchasing power at a high rate. Scarce real assets and inflation-resistant stores of value become more attractive than cash-heavy allocations.

Instrument Side Target Reason
GLD Long We believe gold can protect purchasing power if persistent dollar debasement keeps real cash returns unattractive and pushes capital toward scarce monetary assets.

Themes

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