Fiscal dominance weakens the inflation fight

Conviction: 78% · Horizon: 5Y · 2026-06-16

High public debt limits how aggressively rates can rise

Sticky inflation, rising interest expense, and a large Treasury refinancing burden make aggressive monetary tightening harder to sustain. Policy may remain easier than inflation data alone would justify, supporting nominal assets while pressuring long-duration bonds.

Instrument	Side	Target	Reason
TLT	Short		We believe persistent Treasury supply, sticky inflation, and limited policy room create poor risk-reward for long-duration U.S. government bonds.

Themes

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics growth re-rating 2026-06-17

VLO MUSA MPC Growth Stocks With Rising Earnings Expectations 2026-06-16

SREMF Metals and mining remain overlooked despite strong opportunity set 2026-06-16

SOXX AI infrastructure remains the earnings engine 2026-06-16

TLT Fiscal dominance weakens the inflation fight 2026-06-16

SREMF SREMF speculative momentum rally 2026-06-16

COIN Agent-to-agent payments could create a new growth rail for Coinbase 2026-06-16

MUSA MPC VLO Three Energy Growth Stocks With Rising Earnings Estimates 2026-06-16

PGY NEM RBB Value Stocks With Improving Earnings Outlooks 2026-06-16

CAPL LXFR TXN GIII TPR PLOW THG Income Stocks With Rising Earnings Estimates 2026-06-16

RBB RBB Bancorp Lifted by Positive Earnings Revisions 2026-06-16

TXN Texas Instruments Gains From Improving Earnings Expectations 2026-06-16

ETSY Etsy Shows Renewed Earnings Momentum 2026-06-16

ARCB ArcBest Supported by Stronger Earnings Outlook 2026-06-16

PGY Pagaya Benefits From Better Earnings Expectations 2026-06-16

ECG GIII Three Momentum Stocks Backed by Rising Earnings Estimates 2026-06-16

HLNE XRAY AVO CRVO ADSK PEB LODE Insider buying clusters point to selective equity upside 2026-06-16

HIMS Speculative Upside in Digital Health 2026-06-16

NBIS AAOI Momentum in AI infrastructure and optical networking stocks 2026-06-16

QUAL Quality Stocks Look Attractive Versus Momentum Stocks 2026-06-16

SPCX SpaceX Momentum After IPO 2026-06-16

OUST Lidar hardware makers have asymmetric upside 2026-06-16

LEU SMR CEG Nuclear energy equities benefit from rising power demand and energy security needs 2026-06-16

NURS.V AI-screened microcap multibagger hunting 2026-06-16

PBI Pitney Bowes Shows Improving Earnings Expectations and Reasonable Growth Valuation 2026-06-15

FIVE Five Below Combines Retail Growth Momentum With Attractive PEG Valuation 2026-06-15

DVA FIVE PBI Growth Stocks With Rising Earnings Estimates 2026-06-15

TSLA 1211.HK 300750.SZ Solid-state batteries threaten LFP incumbents 2026-06-15

CRWV XLU AI capital spending relies on circular vendor financing 2026-06-15

GDX Precious Metals Rebound 2026-06-15

OUST AAOI NBIS SREMF SMR High-beta growth stocks show strong momentum 2026-06-15

MU Micron remains undervalued after a sharp rally 2026-06-15

LEU Centrus Energy balance sheet and HALEU funding upside 2026-06-15

AI Infrastructure Stocks Still Offer Growth at Reasonable Valuations 2026-06-15

AVGO Broadcom as an AI infrastructure compounder 2026-06-15

SpaceX SpaceX IPO Valuation Risk 2026-06-15

TSM TSMC Foundry Dominance 2026-06-15

SREMF Scandium demand may re-rate overlooked critical materials equities 2026-06-15

Nebius shareholder conviction in AI infrastructure 2026-06-15

SBUX PLOW LXFR Income Stocks With Dividend Yield and Rising Earnings Estimates 2026-06-15

FAF ALRS PGY GDOT ECPG CMCO PEB Three Value Stocks With Rising Earnings Expectations 2026-06-15

DVA DaVita Offers Earnings Momentum at a Discounted Growth Valuation 2026-06-15

Pitney Bowes Offers Earnings Momentum in Shipping and Mailing Services 2026-06-15

Five Below Combines Retail Growth Momentum With Better Valuation 2026-06-15

SLQT SelectQuote Earnings Estimates Surge 2026-06-15

ALTO Alto Ingredients Earnings Expectations Jump 2026-06-15

EZPW EZCORP Earnings Outlook Improves 2026-06-15

PLOW Douglas Dynamics Estimate Revisions Strengthen 2026-06-15

NVT nVent Electric Profit Expectations Rise 2026-06-15

ONTO FLYW GPRE EZPW NVT ROST Momentum Stocks With Rising Earnings Expectations 2026-06-15

LEU HALEU enrichment capacity scarcity 2026-06-15

TAN Solar remains part of the long-term energy transition trade 2026-06-15

SLV Precious metals miners and silver offer long-cycle upside 2026-06-15

ORSTED.CO Political panic creates mispriced renewable infrastructure opportunities 2026-06-15

JACK WING KRUS DIN Restaurant stocks as consumer recovery plays 2026-06-15

PATH LMND ZETA Selective Exposure to Software Growth Stocks 2026-06-15

INTC Intel can fund foundry growth through equity issuance 2026-06-15

MU NVDA AI semiconductor leaders trade at moderate forward earnings multiples 2026-06-15

NB LAES NVDA Quantum Computing Ecosystem Beyond Pure-Play Stocks 2026-06-15

NGEN.V Nervous system regeneration platform 2026-06-15

MU Memory market expectations remain contested 2026-06-15

GENI ARQT Iran deal may revive the risk-on trade 2026-06-15

GLD TLT Risk-on markets favor gold and a Treasury bond rebound 2026-06-14

QQQ Stronger dollar and AI unwind pressure risk assets 2026-06-14

MU AAOI NVDA COPX AI hardware growth remains attractively valued 2026-06-14

SMH Rising macro pressure threatens equity leadership 2026-06-14

XLF Banks may benefit from sector rotation and deregulation 2026-06-14

GDX Precious metals weakness may not be finished 2026-06-14

QQQ AI-led equity rally depends on liquidity and capital flows 2026-06-14

URA Uranium equities could benefit from utility contracting demand 2026-06-14

QQQ AI-driven equity momentum 2026-06-13

IONQ Momentum-driven quantum computing stocks 2026-06-13

SPY Leveraged ETFs and dealer hedging amplify market fragility 2026-06-13

TER AMD BE HUT Growth leaders rebound into continuation setups 2026-06-13

LEU Centrus Energy uranium enrichment exposure 2026-06-13

URA Uranium contracting deficit 2026-06-13

KEYS LFUS LITE UCTT AMAT CAPL VSH Momentum stocks with rising earnings estimates 2026-06-12

MU HOOD META RIVN RKLB BMBL BTC-USD Concentrated growth portfolio led by memory semiconductors, fintech, social platforms, electric vehicles, space and bitcoin 2026-06-12

GLD Gold Weakness Signals Funding Stress 2026-06-12

SPY Fed Liquidity Support Meets Hawkish Policy Risk 2026-06-12

IONQ Quantum Computing Momentum Looks Speculative 2026-06-12

HOOD Robinhood Insider Buying Strengthens the Bull Case 2026-06-12

Insider Buying Remains Light Ahead of Central Bank Decisions 2026-06-12

QNT.WA IBM Quantum Computing Watchlist Expands After New IPO 2026-06-12

INTC RXT CRWD Defensive growth-stock trading during a weak market regime 2026-06-12

SPY QQQ GLD TLT Liquidity stress is building across housing, credit, AI and consumer finance 2026-06-12

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics has long-term upside 2026-06-12

CRDO Credo Technology remains a weaker but still valid growth exposure 2026-06-12

COHR InP substrate bottleneck in optical networking 2026-06-12

OUST Lidar Growth Stocks Gain Momentum 2026-06-12

ITRI MYRG GEV Grid Infrastructure Investment Boom 2026-06-12

ECL TTEK XYL NWPX Water Scarcity Infrastructure 2026-06-12

IONQ Quantum computing ecosystem 2026-06-12

IONQ RGTI QUBT QBTS FORM GFS QTUM Quantum computing innovation cycle 2026-06-12

HIMS NTRA TMO LNTH TEM Longevity health and wellness disruption 2026-06-12

CRCL COIN V MA Stablecoin Regulation Expands Digital Dollar Infrastructure 2026-06-12

LMND Lemonade remains below its upside target 2026-06-12

LMND ZETA TEM AI application software lagging behind hardware 2026-06-12

APC.AX PLGO NKSH Income Stocks With Rising Earnings Estimates and Above-Industry Yields 2026-06-12

Energy and Fuel Stocks Show Growth Momentum 2026-06-12

APC ARKO Petroleum Earnings Estimates Improve 2026-06-12

LFUS Littelfuse Earnings Momentum Improves 2026-06-12

ATLC Atlanticus Earnings Outlook Strengthens 2026-06-12

PLGO Pelagos Insurance Profit Forecasts Rise 2026-06-12

ArcBest Earnings Forecasts Move Higher 2026-06-12

KEYS Momentum Stocks With Rising Earnings Estimates 2026-06-12

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