Developed international equities on cyclical upswing

Conviction: 72% · Horizon: 90D · 2026-07-12
Europe and Japan benefit from traditional-industry tilt as global indices press highs

As US large caps approach record levels, markets with heavier weights in industrials, financials, and other cyclical value chains look well placed to catch up. Energy firmness and softer bonds/gold reinforce a reflationary tilt that historically favors non-US developed equities with domestic industrial bases.

Instrument Side Target Reason
IEV Long Pan-European large and mid-cap exposure aligns with a catch-up trade in traditional cyclicals while global risk appetite stays elevated and US indices lead the upside drift.
EWJ Long Japan combines exporter leverage to a softer yen backdrop with domestic industrial and financial names that tend to outperform when global manufacturing and commodity complexes strengthen.

Themes

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