Megacap tech indexes lead while small caps lag

Conviction: 58% · Horizon: 6M · 2026-07-13
Repeated weekly gap favors Nasdaq and S&P 500 over Russell 2000

In the latest week the Russell 2000 fell 0.61% while the S&P 500 rose 1.23% and the Nasdaq 1.74%, continuing a multi-week pattern of narrow large-cap leadership. Sentiment gauges tied to the S&P 500 moved from Fear toward Neutral, which aligns with strength in the headline indexes rather than broad small-cap participation.

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