PEG ratios on two-year forward earnings growth

Conviction: 55% · Horizon: 2Y · 2026-07-13
Several high-growth names screen cheap on PEG while select software leaders look growth-expensive

Price-to-earnings divided by two-year forward compound annual growth rate separates names with almost no growth premium in the multiple from those where the market already prices very high sustained expansion. Memory and AI semiconductors, ad-tech, and select fintech and data platforms cluster at sub-1.0x to low-1.x PEG, while cybersecurity, EV, and data-cloud leaders sit at materially higher multiples relative to the same growth yardstick.

Instrument Side Target Reason
NVDA Long A 0.28x PEG against two-year forward CAGR indicates the headline P/E still looks modest relative to expected earnings growth, leaving room for the name to outperform if datacenter and AI capex sustain the growth path already in estimates.
MU Long At roughly 0.01x PEG on two-year forward earnings growth, the market embeds almost no premium for the earnings ramp implied by consensus, which is unusual for a cyclical memory leader when AI-driven demand can re-rate utilization and margins faster than the multiple suggests.
UPST Long Near 0.33x PEG prices the stock as if forward growth were far higher than the multiple alone would imply, which can reward investors if credit models and volume recover and consensus EPS growth materializes.
RDDT Long At about 0.62x PEG, expected two-year earnings growth is not fully reflected in the current multiple, so monetization and ad yield improvements could drive upside without requiring a extreme growth premium in the price.
APP Long A 0.65x PEG suggests the market still underweights forward earnings expansion relative to mobile advertising and platform scale, offering asymmetry if growth in the next two years tracks consensus CAGR.
ZETA Long Roughly 0.78x PEG leaves the valuation aligned with but not ahead of two-year forward growth, which is attractive for a marketing-data name if enterprise adoption keeps lifting margins and EPS.
PLTR Long At 1.15x PEG the stock trades only slightly rich versus two-year forward earnings growth, a narrower premium than many software peers and one that can work if government and commercial deal velocity sustains the growth curve.

Themes

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