High-growth screen — revenue and EBITDA compounders
Conviction: 62%
· Horizon: 2Y
· 2026-07-13
Names with 30%+ revenue CAGR and 40%+ EBITDA CAGR over two years can outperform as operating leverage and scale compound
A dual threshold on revenue and EBITDA growth filters for businesses where top-line acceleration is converting into even faster profit expansion. Grouping by market cap separates mega-cap platform winners from mid-cap semis and smaller infrastructure or optical names where estimate revisions may move prices more sharply over a 24-month window.
| Instrument | Side | Target | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVGO | Long | Custom silicon and networking exposure at scale can deliver revenue growth above 30% while mix shift and integration lift EBITDA growth above 40% over the next two years. | |
| AMD | Long | Data-center and AI accelerator share gains can drive high-teens to 30%+ revenue CAGR with faster EBITDA growth as fixed costs absorb on a larger revenue base. | |
| PLTR | Long | Commercial adoption layered on government revenue can compound billings growth while operating leverage pushes EBITDA CAGR well above revenue growth over a 24-month horizon. | |
| MRVL | Long | Custom AI and cloud silicon programs support elevated revenue growth; gross margin expansion and opex discipline can produce 40%+ EBITDA CAGR from a sub-trillion base. | |
| LITE | Long | Laser and optical components tied to AI data-center buildouts offer strong revenue compounding with operating leverage as volume contracts scale. | |
| NBIS | Long | GPU-cloud capacity expansion can compound revenue above 30% while asset utilization and pricing on AI compute lift EBITDA growth above 40% over two years. | |
| SPCX | Long | Inclusion in the highest market-cap bucket alongside platform leaders signals expectations of sustained top-line and EBITDA compounding rather than a one-off cycle. | |
| NVDA | Long | At mega-cap scale, sustained 30%+ revenue growth with 40%+ EBITDA CAGR implies durable AI compute demand and pricing power that can support premium multiples over a two-year earnings ramp. | |
| WDC | Long | AI-driven storage demand and cyclical recovery can lift revenue growth above 30% while utilization and pricing improve EBITDA growth faster than sales over two years. | |
| BE | Long | Fuel-cell deployments for data-center power can ramp revenue quickly; scale on installed base improves unit economics and can push EBITDA CAGR above 40%. | |
| COHR | Long | Optical and photonics content for AI networking supports high revenue CAGR; integration synergies and mix toward higher-value modules can accelerate EBITDA growth. | |
| CRWV | Long | Dedicated AI infrastructure revenue can grow rapidly from a smaller base; high utilization on GPU clusters supports EBITDA CAGR outpacing revenue as contracts lengthen. | |
| CRDO | Long | High-speed connectivity silicon for AI racks drives 30%+ revenue growth; rich product mix and fabless model can expand EBITDA margins faster than sales. | |
| IREN | Long | Bitcoin mining pivot toward AI hosting can re-rate revenue growth above 30% while power and data-center assets convert to higher-margin EBITDA as utilization rises. |
Themes
TKR
6481.T
Robotics actuator and bearing components
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GECC
ORLA
HTLD
MEOH
NCNO
JD
BWAY
Earnings Estimate Momentum Across Five Newly Highlighted Stocks
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FXY
The end of structural yen devaluation
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QQQ
TLT
Tactical 10–20% correction with rotation from new-era leaders to the broad market
2026-07-13
TLT
End of the yen devaluation regime
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NVDA
MU
AAOI
Hyperscaler AI capital expenditure surge leaves semiconductor and optical names cheap on pullbacks
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TEM
Tempus AI data and applications revenue scale
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RBC
Robotics actuator and bearing components as the primary BOM leverage in humanoid growth
2026-07-13
URA
SMR
DNN
Uranium sector pullback as a multi-decade entry
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MU
QQQ
Passive flows and benchmark concentration have structurally broken buy-and-hold returns and active stock picking
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ROKU
M&A locks Roku out of momentum investing
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NVGN.MX
Neurorepair value shifts from copyable peptides to mapped, monetizable functional outcomes
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MAGS
SMH
Semiconductor complex near-term repair phase
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KRE
IWM
Small-cap and cyclical leadership rotation
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MU
Semiconductor memory at cyclical profit peak
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SREMF
Early stake in Summit Ridge energy vehicle
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MRVL
DELL
AMD
VRT
Hardware and AI infrastructure leaders lead a narrow high-conviction watchlist
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Bloom Energy short thesis scrutiny
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SREMF
NB.V
Non-Chinese scandium supply chain
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Liquidity outweighs hawkish Fed messaging
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ALB
Lithium equities as a dollar-softening trade
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GLD
Affordability crisis reflects post-2008 centrally managed finance, not market capitalism
2026-07-09
PALI
Palisade Bio director repeat buying
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AVO
Mission Produce insider accumulation cluster
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XYZ
Block Earnings Estimates Move Higher
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DHX
DHI Group Earnings Expectations Strengthen
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COOK
Traeger Earnings Momentum Improves
2026-07-09
SOXX
AI trade cyclical peak
2026-07-08
KWEB
China internet leadership on weak US breadth
2026-07-08
IWM
US small-cap year-to-date leadership
2026-07-08
USO
US–Iran geopolitical escalation
2026-07-08
Equity index range bound into July expiry
2026-07-08
CL=F
Middle East risk and crude oil repricing
2026-07-08
SMH
MSFT
XLI
AI memory supercycle pause and sector rotation
2026-07-08
CRDO
Credo Technology after a sharp rerating
2026-07-08
SPY
Broad index near highs while sectors diverge
2026-07-08
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