Locking in long-term real yields

Conviction: 78% · Horizon: 30Y · 2026-05-19
Thirty-year TIPS offer equity-like real return potential with lower outcome risk

Long-dated TIPS near 3% real yields can be competitive with traditional balanced portfolios, especially for lower-risk investors, retirees, or scenarios where future US equity outperformance fades.

Instrument Side Target Reason
LTPZ Long Long-dated inflation-linked bonds can lock in historically high real yields, offering durable purchasing-power protection and a competitive return profile versus lower-risk balanced portfolios.
GLD Long Gold can hedge the risk that official inflation measures understate true inflation or that fiscal stress weakens confidence in government-linked real-return instruments.

Themes

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