Hyperscaler capital expenditure surge to $1.4 trillion by 2028

Conviction: 72% · Horizon: 3Y · 2026-07-14
AI datacenter buildout will drive massive hyperscaler spend while optical and memory suppliers trade at modest revenue multiples

Wall Street forecasts aggregate hyperscaler capital expenditure approaching $1.4 trillion in 2028 as AI workloads scale. Optical transceiver and high-bandwidth memory suppliers that sit in the physical layer of that buildout can re-rate if revenue growth tracks capex without multiple expansion already priced in.

Instrument Side Target Reason
AAOI Long Datacenter optical connectivity demand rises with AI cluster scale; a sub-7x next-twelve-months sales multiple leaves room for earnings and multiple catch-up if hyperscaler orders materialize through 2028.
MU Long High-bandwidth memory is a binding constraint for AI accelerators; sustained hyperscaler capex should lift bit demand and pricing power for leading DRAM and HBM producers trading below peak-cycle expectations.

Themes

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