Unbounded AI Productivity Gains

Conviction: 65% · Horizon: 5Y · 2026-07-15
AI productivity gains face little practical ceiling as models and tooling keep improving.

Incremental advances in models, agents, and developer tooling continue to raise output per worker. Because gains compound across software, services, and knowledge work, the productivity upside remains large and open-ended rather than capped near current levels.

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