Robotics Bull Case Still Intact After FinX Chart Frenzy
Conviction: 72%
· Horizon: 3Y
· 2026-07-17
Physical AI and humanoid build-out still underprices LiDAR, actuators, bearings, sensing, copper, silver, and memory.
The robotics and humanoid setup has not deteriorated: perception (LiDAR), precision actuators, bearings, and sensing remain core bottlenecks, while copper, silver, and high-density memory sit in every joint, connector, and compute stack. Multi-hundred-x long-term growth in actuators and bearings still points to multi-year demand for the physical layer, not just software AI.
| Instrument | Side | Target | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| OUST | Long | Global LiDAR and perception-layer leadership with valuation back near sub-10x sales, positioning the name as a levered bet on robot sensing without needing perfect near-term humanoid volumes. | |
| 6324.T | Long | Precision strain-wave gears dominate high-performance humanoid actuators, giving one of the cleanest pure exposures to the actuator stack that already represents a large share of robot BOM cost. | |
| COPX | Long | Copper is embedded in joint motors, PCBs, and connectors across the robotics stack, so a copper-miners basket captures physical-AI intensity without single-name mining risk. | |
| VPG | Long | Specialty sensing components are a small but critical slice of robot BOM, and a supplier with multi-percent content per platform can compound as humanoid and industrial robot units scale. | |
| RRX | Long | Bearings face an extreme multi-decade unit ramp if humanoid production scales, and a diversified industrial bearings supplier is positioned for that volume step-change at a more reasonable multiple than pure-play peers. | |
| SLV | Long | Silver remains underappreciated in physical AI for contacts, electronics, and power paths, offering a liquid metal proxy for rising robotics and electrification intensity. | |
| MU | Long | Humanoids carry roughly an order of magnitude more memory than a typical L2 vehicle, so memory vendors capture a structural content step-up as edge robotics compute proliferates. |
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