Buy the Dip Into CPI After Post-FOMC Rally

Conviction: 65% · Horizon: 2W · 2026-08-10
Healthy consolidation into CPI keeps the bull case intact if inflation does not derail the rally

After an explosive post-FOMC rally, markets are consolidating constructively ahead of CPI. Strong earnings, better guidance, upward revisions, broadening equal-weight participation, and strong options flow still support the bull market. Risks include AI-driven paper gains inflating earnings and a quietly deteriorating labor market. Technically, QQQ holds key support near 709 and can break above 735.77 toward a longer-term target near 765 if CPI cooperates.

Instrument Side Target Reason
QQQ Long 765 Post-FOMC strength is digesting in a healthy range while earnings breadth, revisions, and options flow still favor risk assets. Holding above ~709 keeps the bull structure intact; a clean break of 735.77 opens extension toward ~765 if CPI does not spoil the setup.

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